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Pundits Eat Crow
Election results are one of the few things on which pundits’ on-air or online predictions can be held to account. Who got it right in the first two contests of the 2008 presidential race?
By
Emily Leaman
Published Tuesday, January 29, 2008
Robert Novak had mixed results. In Iowa, he got the Democrats right but not the Republicans, and vice versa in New Hampshire. Bill O’Reilly of Fox News guessed wrong on the GOP in Iowa but got the Democrats right. On the left, Markos Moulitsas Zúniga, founder of the progressive blog DailyKos.com and a columnist for Newsweek, got it right in Iowa, matching the 1–2–3 finish of Barack Obama, John Edwards, and Hillary Rodham Clinton almost to the percentage, but he was way off the mark in New Hampshire, predicting wins for Mitt Romney and Obama. MSNBC’s Chris Matthews missed Mike Huckabee’s win in Iowa but did see John McCain’s revival in New Hampshire, while E.J. Dionne saw Edwards pushing “one of these other two into third” in Iowa. David Brooks guessed wrong on Iowa, while his NewsHour counterpart, Mark Shields, correctly foresaw McCain’s rebound. The best election predictor might be the guest lineup on NBC’s Meet the Press. Although host Tim Russert was circumspect in his own guesses, he hosted three of the four Iowa and New Hampshire winners the Sunday before—Huckabee and Obama just before Iowa and then McCain just before the Granite State. Of course, predictions are a tricky business in any field. Washington Post sports columnist Tom Boswell wrote on January 8 that he was “95 percent” sure Redskins coach Joe Gibbs and team owner Dan Snyder would work out a contract extension. Later that day, Gibbs resigned. This article can be found in the February 2008 issue of The Washingtonian.
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Comments
McCain wants to bomb Iran and stay in Iraq for 100 years and promised for more wars. McCain says he wants interest rates to be ZERO out of complete ignorance for how interest rates affect the economy. I’d like to see him say that to retirees on a fixed income. McCain want 10 million illegal immigrants to stay permanently and legal immigrants who can vote do not support it. How could this country be secure if he is in power??? If McCain is nominee, as a republican I would rather vote Clinton than McCain. As least we know Clinton has some intelligence and lead the booming economic. McCain will lead this country to a total ruin with his lack of intelligence and no executive experience. Mitt Romney is an expert in economics and finance and is the man we need as president.
Posted by: Linda, Jan 29, 2008 06:52:35 AM
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Candlelit holiday tours, a Capitol Hill Santa bar crawl, lots of Prohibition-repeal bar parties, film festivals, and more are all in this weekend’s picks.
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Posted at
10:00 AM/ET, 01/29/2008 in
Race for the White House | Permalink
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