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Which Washington-Set Movies and Shows Will Triumph at the Golden Globes?

We speculate so you don’t have to.

We’re calling it now—Homeland’s Claire Danes and Damian Lewis for best actress/actor in a television drama. Photograph by Kent Smith for Showtime.

In case you missed it late last year, Washington-based TV shows and movies did really, really well at the Emmys. There was the almost unparalleled success of Homeland, of course, but also wins for Veep and Game Change. This Sunday it’s the Golden Globes’ turn, and while the same three productions are nominated for a whole sweep of awards, it’s fair to assume that Zero Dark Thirty and Lincoln might also dominate the movie side of things.

Below, see our incredibly unscientific predictions about what might win (Homeland) and what probably won’t (Political Animals). Let us know which shows you’d like to see honored in the comments.

Best Motion Picture—Drama
Zero Dark Thirty. So far, Kathryn Bigelow’s story of the capture and killing of Osama bin Laden has won ten Best Picture awards on the film circuit, including one from the prestigious New York Film Critics’ Circle.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture—Drama
Daniel Day-Lewis. Daniel Day-Lewis in a movie written by Tony Kushner and directed by Steven Spielberg? It’s the stuff award ceremonies dream of.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture—Comedy or Musical
Bill Murray. Fine, so Hyde Park on Hudson was set in New York, but Murray played FDR, so it totally counts.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture—Drama
Jessica Chastain. We’re inclined to think the breakout star of The Help (for which she got supporting actress Golden Globe and Oscar nominations last year) might triumph this year. Dark-horse pick? Rachel Weisz.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Sally Field. We’re predicting, for no particular reason, that Field will win the Globe for Lincoln, and Anne Hathaway the Oscar.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
It could be Tommy Lee Jones for Lincoln. It’s also just as likely to be Philip Seymour Hoffman for The Master. has Hoffman with the (slightly) better odds, but gambling’s a mug’s game so we’re going with Jones.

Best Director—Motion Picture
Steven Spielberg. According to Metacritic, Lincoln is the director’s most highly praised film since Saving Private Ryan (which he won for).

Best Screenplay—Motion Picture
Tony Kushner. It’s a tight race, but the man who wrote Lincoln already has a Pulitzer, an Emmy, and a Tony on his résumé, and we think he’ll need to start making space in the trophy cabinet.

Best Original Score—Motion Picture
John Williams. Fo shizzle, and for Lincoln.

Best Television Series—Drama
Homeland. We’re sticking with Emmy precedent. Never heard of this mysterious show? Get out from under your rock and read our recaps.

Best Performance by an Actress/Actor in a Television Series—Drama
Claire Danes/Damian Lewis. See above.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Television Series—Comedy or Musical
Julia Louis-Dreyfus. The Veep actress and Holton-Arms alum also won the Emmy last year, and she’s really very funny on HBO as Selina Meyer.

Best Miniseries or Movie Made for Television
Game Change. Sorry, Political Animals. The elephant metaphors were fun, but then you kind of dropped the ball. Read our recaps for more details.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Miniseries or Movie Made for Television
Julianne Moore. Although Sigourney Weaver’s faux-Hillary Clinton facing up to Moore’s Sarah Palin is a celebrity deathmatch dream come true.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Series, Miniseries, or Movie Made for Television
Mandy Patinkin. Is it too much to ask that Saul Berenson’s beard finally be recognized by Hollywood?

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