2013 Wizards Draft Pick Predictions

Jack Kogod lines up the scenarios in order of likelihood.
Ernie Grunfeld. Photograph by Flickr user truthaboutit.

The Washington Wizards, still working through their perpetual rebuild, entered last
month’s NBA draft lottery in the eighth slot, needing a minor miracle to move up into
the draft’s top three.

Mathematically, they had a 12.3 percent chance of moving up into a coveted top-three
position. To put things in more of an on-court context, it was like seeing the Wizards
trailing by a point in the game’s final second with
Jan Vesely trembling nervously at the free-throw line. Expectations were not terribly high.
Fifteen minutes into the impossibly arcane process, all of the Ping-Pong balls used
to determine the draft order bounced the right way, and the Wizards were guaranteed
one of the earliest picks.

In the end they wound up with the third overall pick, which could mean so much to
the team, even if this draft class is not the strongest. The move took lame-duck general
Ernie Grunfeld out of a position where he’d be picking at leftovers and put him into a prime spot.

So what will he do with this sudden windfall? These are the various scenarios I could
see playing out, arranged in order of likelihood.

With the third pick in the 2013 NBA draft, the Washington Wizards select . . . Otto
Porter (forward), Georgetown University.

There’s nothing complicated about this pick. Porter is clearly one of the top prospects
in the draft, he plays a position of need, and he is already a beloved figure in DC
following memorable years at Georgetown.

He does a little bit of everything, and he fits into the defensive mentality the Wizards
established last season. His game is so complete that rival coach
Jim Boeheim said he may be the best all-around player in Big East conference history.

With the third pick in the 2013 NBA draft, the Washington Wizards select . . . Nerlens
Noel (center), University of Kentucky.

Noel has been the presumptive number-one pick all along. And yet every indication
out of Cleveland is that they’re looking for a way to not draft him with the draft’s
first pick. If Noel does slip to the Wizards, he might be too promising to pass up,
especially if Porter is already off the board.

With the third pick in the 2013 NBA draft, the Washington Wizards select . . . Anthony
Bennett (forward), University of Nevada Las Vegas.

Bennett wouldn’t be the choice if fans had their way, but a lot of experts believe
the Wizards should take a long look in this direction. Bennett is a burly scoring
machine. Unfortunately he’s a bit undersize to play power forward in the NBA, and
the word “disinterested” appears in his scouting report more often than you would
like. Still, the Wizards need scoring, and that is something he is both capable of
and interested in doing.

We have a trade to announce. The Washington Wizards have traded the third pick to
Team X.

The Wizards need to improve sooner rather than later, and some feel that trading away
the opportunity to add a young player for someone a bit more seasoned makes sense.
Unfortunately, the Wizards are simply not going to get the kind of impactful player
they can afford in exchange for this pick and some spare parts off of their bench.

With the third pick in the 2013 NBA draft, the Washington Wizards select . . . Victor
Oladipo (guard/forward), Indiana University.

Another player with local ties, Oladipo is a Prince George’s County native who played
high school basketball at DeMatha. This pick is my own personal pipe dream. He essentially
plays the same position as Beal, though many believe he could be the best player in
the draft. If the Wizards agree (and Porter is gone) a case could be made for a high-character
guy who is constantly improving, and can already defend like a pro.

With the third pick in the 2013 NBA draft, the Washington Wizards select . . . anyone

Alex Len? Too much of a project. Rudy Gobert? One hundred percent too French. Drafting
either of these guys that early would be the ultimate troll move from Grunfeld, a
talent evaluator who is often criticized for selecting European projects who haven’t
worked out. See: Vesely, Jan.

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